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May 24, 2017

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China currently incapable of launching full attack on Taiwan proper: MND

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- China's military is capable of seizing Taiwan-held islands near the mainland and taking over islets in the disputed South China Sea area, but cannot yet launch a full scale attack on Taiwan proper, Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense (MND) said Monday.

In a report on China's military might in 2014 and another report on Taiwan's military overhaul plan for the next five years, the MND said that any move by China against Taiwan at this time could include military intimidation, blockade or military strikes.

With the use of electromagnetic, air and sea warfare, China could paralyze most of Taiwan's combat ability and seek to land on the island for a quick decisive occupation, the ministry said.

It said, however, that China does not have enough military vessels to transport its amphibious forces and is therefore incapable of launching a full-scale attack on the main island of Taiwan.

But if China eventually gains the capability to seize and occupy Taiwan proper, the possibility of a direct attack on the island cannot be ruled out, the ministry said.

According to the report on China's military, the country's expenditure on national defense and modernization of its military this year is about 808.2 billion yuan (US$131.56 billion), the highest of any state in Asia.

The amount represents a sharp increase from the 220 billion yuan allocated in 2004 and an increase of 12.2 percent from last year, it said.

In comparison, the MND noted, Taiwan's military expenditure for 2015 was put at NT$319.3 billion (US$10.69 billion).

As of the end of last year, China had a 2.28 million strong military, while its armed police force had 680,000 personnel, the report stated.

Taiwan, meanwhile, is aiming to trim its armed forces to 215,000 by the end of this year, the report noted.

Defense Minister Yen Ming said recently that a planned program to further trim the country's military personnel to below 200,000 by the end of 2019 will be formally implemented next year.

September 2, 2014    mtsai16@
@ China currently incapable of launching full attack on Taiwan proper: MND

I suppose that we will be told when China becomes capable?

Thank you for your consideration!
September 7, 2014    gc_@
China incapable? The authors are trying to hoodwink the public.
This is 2014 not 1954/58 or 1996. Then for China to attack Taiwan would have been suicidal.
Get real. The PLA will soon be operating the carrier busting missile and the US will have to let go Taiwan. It's a matter of time.
And those Taiwanese especially those living in the US clamoring for Taiwan independence should volunteer to fight for the island if there is a war.
Btw, don't bank on the US using nw on China. Maybe when China had no nw but the price for prevailing over China has grown so massive that, believe me the WH must be calculating the costs. That's why I agree with Lee Kuan Yew, the former PM of Singapore, who said the fate of Taiwan will be decided by US and China. This is an unpalatable truth. History is full of such examples of great powers deciding the future of minor powers.
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