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September 24, 2017

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Survey finds that president sinks as premier floats on Lin bribe scandal

President Ma Ying-jeou's popularity has taken a hit in the Lin Yi-shih (林益世) scandal while Premier Sean Chen appears to be escaping unscathed, according to the "Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey" (TMBS, 台灣民心動態調查) released yesterday.

Polling showed that 59.4 percent see the president as "untrustworthy" — an uptick of 4.9 percentage points from June ratings.

Meanwhile, 69.9 percent of the public are dissatisfied with Ma's performance in office, an increase of 3.8 percentage points since June.

"The high-level corruption scandal involving former Cabinet Secretary-General Lin Yi-shih has shot disapproval of Ma to new heights, creating the apex of Ma's brand and image crisis," said polling center Taiwan Indicators Survey Research (台灣指標民調).

Interestingly, Premier Sean Chen appears to be escaping the bribery scandal unscathed. The public's "positive" assessment of Chen has made a month-on-month jump of 4.2 percentage points, while "negative" assessment has decreased by 1.6 percentage points.

More than 50 percent of the Taiwan public believes that there is no need for Chen to resign over the Lin scandal.

DPP Slightly Ahead?

As for party image? The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) earned a "favorable impression" index of 46.1 out of 100, beating out the Kuomintang's (KMT) 39.

The Taiwan Indicators Survey Research poll center weighs "impressions" indicated by respondents, to calculate an overall "favorable impression" index.

The DPP's latest score is a 0.4 percentage point decline from June. The KMT's "favorable impression" rating saw a greater drop of 4.9 percentage points.

Respondents were also asked the following: "High-profile corruption scandals have occurred under both the KMT and DPP administrations. Which party has the greater ability to self-reflect and self-monitor?"

Some 26.5 percent indicated the DPP, 21.3 percent said the KMT, 29.9 percent said that "none have the ability" and 5.8 percent said both.

Among self-declared "moderates," nearly 40 percent said that neither the KMT nor the DPP has the ability to self-reflect and self-monitor. This edition of the "Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey" was conducted between July 5 and 6, with a survey sample of 1,001 Taiwan residents aged 20 years or older. The margin for error associated with this sample is plus or minus 3.1 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval.

The "Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey" is conducted twice monthly by the Taiwan Indicators Survey Research, which was founded this year by former Global Views Survey Research Center Director Tai Li-an (戴立安).

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