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| Economy |
| 翻譯訂China Post 輕鬆讀 Guide Post 網路價 半年只要 2,700 !! 訂閱 化石燃料榮景 鑽油科技突飛猛進,乾淨能源卻落後
過去十年間,科技帶來了一次能源革命,但這場革命卻不是我們預期的革命。我們原以為到了現在,汽車使用的能源不是氫氣就是廉價的電瓶,發電的不是太陽能板就是風車。化石燃料?它們將變得很昂貴且珍稀,並且是一個較早、較骯髒的時代的遺物。 但在征服能源科技的競賽中,舊能源竟然領先了。石油公司利用科技找到大量的石油和天然氣,而且蘊藏量大到足以消除枯竭的疑慮。 結果是供應充足,使美國有望在幾年內成為全球最大的石油和天然氣生產國。此外,東非和西非、澳洲、南美洲和地中海等地區也相繼發現了豐碩的蘊藏。 這一切的後果是非常重大的。即將發生的能源危機竟成了榮景。這些額外的化石燃料也許將對地球的氣候構成更劇烈的威脅。至於再生能源,過去十年間的樂觀預期卻蒙上了陰霾。 新的世紀伊始,世人擔心世界的石油蘊藏將宣告枯竭。氣候科學家證明了對化石燃料的依賴給環境帶來了令人引以為憂的轉變,結果華爾街和政界人士紛紛挹注開發替代能源的企業。 但石油和天然氣行業也在不斷創新。新的科技使鑽探業者有辦法進行兩項重大任務,就是找到有石油的地方以及用經濟方式開採。大型的石油公司藉由速度較快的電腦和較佳的感應器所提供的助力,在離岸極深的海底找到大量石油。在岸上,規模較小的鑽探業者學會如何使水力壓裂法等新方法從過去到不了的地方取得石油和天然氣。 再生能源技術也有成功的地方。在美國,太陽能發電量是十年前的六倍,風力發電量是十年前的十八倍。但再生能源的前景和過去十年內一樣低迷。 在未來五年間,世界肯定有可能再次轉向。目前在進行再生能源計畫的公司數以百計。但石油及天然氣者業者 EOG Resources 的執行長馬克派派說,石油和天然氣業者將投資研發更先進的科技。他估計,現有科技可以把百分之六蘊藏在頁岩之內的石油抽取到地面。假如學會抽取兩倍這個數量的方法,又會有大量石油出現。他說:「我們現在進入新階段的科技,也就是我們要如何把其餘的抽取到地面?」 | |||
| Fossil fuel boom | |||||
| Oil drilling technology leaps ahead, clean energy lags behind
Technology created an energy revolution over the past decade — just not the one we expected. By now, cars were supposed to be running on hydrogen or cheap batteries. Electricity would be generated with solar panels and wind turbines. Fossil fuels? They were going to be expensive and scarce, relics of an earlier, dirtier age. But in the race to conquer energy technology, Old Energy is winning. Oil companies have used technology to find a bounty of oil and natural gas so large that worries about running out have melted away. The result is an abundance that has put the U.S. on track to become the world's largest producer of oil and gas in a few years. Enormous reserves have also been found in East and West Africa, Australia, South America and the Mediterranean. The consequences of this are enormous. A looming energy crisis has turned into a boom. These additional fossil fuels may pose a more acute threat to Earth's climate. And for renewable energy sources, the sunny forecast of the last decade has turned overcast. The new century brought deep concerns that the world's oil reserves were beginning to run out. Energy prices rose to record highs. Climate scientists showed that reliance on fossil fuels was causing troubling changes to the environment. And as a result, Wall Street and politicians were pouring money into alternative energy companies. But the oil and gas industry was innovating, too. New technology allowed drillers to do two crucial things: find more places where oil and gas is hidden and bring it to the surface economically. Large oil companies turned up huge discoveries offshore in ultra-deep water with the help of faster computers and better sensors. Onshore, small drillers learned how to pull oil and gas out of previously inaccessible places through new methods such as fracking. Renewable technologies have had their successes. Solar now generates six times more electricity in the U.S. than it did a decade ago, and wind produces 18 times more. But the outlook for renewable energy is as dim as it's been in a decade. It's certainly possible the world will change direction again in the next five years. And there are hundreds of companies working on renewable energy projects. But Mark Papa, the CEO of oil and gas company EOG Resources, said oil and gas companies will just invest in even more sophisticated technology. He estimated that current techniques pull only 6 percent of the oil trapped in shale to the surface. Learning to double that would yield yet another enormous trove. "Now we go into the next phase of technology," he said. "How are we going to get the rest of it out of the ground?" | |||||
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