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India casting a wary eye on China's role in Pakistan

That mood is now shifting, with attention turning again to tensions over the 3,500-km (2,200-mile) border, particularly Chinese claims to the northeastern state of Arunachal Pradesh. India's air force chief said in May that China presented a greater threat than Pakistan because New Delhi knew little about Beijing's combat capabilities. “The public mood is very much that Pakistan is the unreformed enemy, China cannot be trusted,” Anand said.

That traditional distrust of India's two main rivals has been fused together by Washington's renewed focus on Pakistan.

President Barack Obama's administration is not only pouring money into Pakistan, but also looking to China to help put pressure on Islamabad to crack down on the militants.

“Their entire policy revolves around China,” Kapila said.

As well as supplying weapons to Pakistan, China has been expanding its economic interests there, notably through funding the new Gwadar deep sea port on Pakistan's Arabian Sea to give it access to Middle East oil supplies.

“Pakistan's reliance on both the U.S. and China for aid and diplomatic support means that coordinated approaches from Washington and Beijing provide the best chance for impacting Pakistani policies in a way that encourages regional stability,” Lisa Curtis, from the Heritage Foundation think tank, told a Congressional hearing in Washington. In the meantime, India, which broke off peace talks with Pakistan after last November's attack on Mumbai, fears it may come under U.S. pressure to reduce tensions so that Islamabad can focus on fighting its Taliban insurgency.

The newly re-elected Congress-led government has yet to spell out how it plans to navigate a political and economic environment which has changed radically in recent months.

Anand, who described India as suffering “a schizophrenia between arrogance and helplessness,” said the country had no real reason to feel under siege and should actually welcome the United States asking China to help in Pakistan. He said the government should aim to carve out a long-term foreign policy that managed to rise above the public mood.

With both India and China competing overseas for energy and other resources, the foreign policy decisions made by the new government could determine how far New Delhi succeeds in securing supplies overseas to fuel its growing economy.

“They are rivals for a lot of energy projects against each other, although on occasions they have submitted joint bids; they have tried to cooperate,” said Beijing-based British author Jasper Becker.

But according to Anand, projecting Indian influence overseas will require a shift in India's self-perception that goes beyond seeing itself as a victim of Pakistan and China.

Comments
June 2, 2009    gv_indiana@
China needs to tread very carefully and not annoy India. Its action and fear of China will create a bigger problem for China and its foreign policy if India gets totally antagonized.

India has largely heeded to China by keeping the Tibet problem under control and Dalai in check. It has also stuck to one China policy by not encouraging Taiwan.

China will do well by avoiding creating its stooge (Pakistan) a headache for India, which it has done skillfully in the past. This is a changed world and China and India are gaining momentum and any negative direction by its action will be at a very high cost for China
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